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2024-12-14 01:49:23

In the evening, the CPI data of Laomei is in line with expectations, and the probability of interest rate cuts will increase greatly next week, but today's A-shares are still faltering in early trading! Obviously, the external positive has been desensitized to A-shares, but a sudden positive in the session directly pulled the market back to the upward trend, so can A-shares continue to rise tomorrow? The 3500-point battle is reopened?Secondly, consumption and robot differentiation, low-priced stocks shrink to attract more judgments unchanged. Today was supposed to be a day to test the relay funds, but the favorable blessing has renewed the life of the hot money. After Thiel's board broke yesterday and fell today, it also broke today, and low-priced stocks continued to shrink to a new high. Let's not talk about more. Under the low tide, the fast-running game is expected to be staged at any time.


Judging from the performance of individual stocks and sectors, today's A-shares can break the curse of Black Thursday, mainly because at 11 o'clock, it announced the great benefits of personal pensions. After-hours, another heavy meeting was held. Although deficit ratio and the ultra-long-term special national debt were mentioned, Lao Liu reminded me that before the small high point of 3494.87 points was not broken, it was not appropriate to blindly chase up.In the evening, the CPI data of Laomei is in line with expectations, and the probability of interest rate cuts will increase greatly next week, but today's A-shares are still faltering in early trading! Obviously, the external positive has been desensitized to A-shares, but a sudden positive in the session directly pulled the market back to the upward trend, so can A-shares continue to rise tomorrow? The 3500-point battle is reopened?To sum up, the repair and rebound in the past two days have not changed the judgment logic of the small high point. Although I am still optimistic about the market outlook, after careful measurement, I find that it is still very difficult to continue to accelerate after the market breaks through a new high. The current price-volume coordination is not supported for the time being. Therefore, I still tend to take the initiative to step back and gain momentum before I enter the acceleration cycle.


Next, let's look at the prospect of tonight's heavy meeting. Raising deficit ratio and issuing extra-long-term special government bonds were also expected before, and then we will wait for the specific figures to be announced. There is one thing that is worthy of recognition, that is, the A-shares must be launched above, but the robot has ebbed, and the acceleration of consumption here will prevent it from dying after the final policy is implemented.Second, the reason for the purchase restriction is that you can save taxes. Simply put, you need to pay taxes when you buy it in your own account, but you can save up to 5,400 yuan in taxes when you buy it through personal pension. The key is that the direction of personal pension investment is personally checked and screened above, so I will ask you if it is fragrant! Today, finance and securities firms are on the move, and both waves of attacks in early trading have signs of mysterious fund assists, which means obvious care.However, if we continue to shake and consolidate below this point, the risk of the broader market will not be great, so let me remind you that before the logic of judging the small high point has not changed, we can continue to watch more and move less. After all, today's reversal is mainly driven by favorable+mysterious funds entering the market, rather than the real offensive kinetic energy of the market.

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